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Eastern Conference Semi-Final G3: Double Tenhua Three Souls Blazing, Celtics Make a Big Blow

6:39pm, 15 May 2025【Basketball】

(First paragraph) When the final timer of Boston North Shore Garden Arena lit up red numbers, 20,000 spectators were collectively in silence. This is the first time in the past five years that the defending champion lost in the first two home courts in the playoffs. On the tactical board in the Celtics' locker room, the comparison of the final quarter scores circled with a red pen is shocking: G1's last quarter 19-34, and G2's last quarter 15-29. Head coach Mazula repeatedly played the defensive rotation loophole in the game video, and the assistant coaching team was analyzing the New Yorker's sudden upgraded pick-and-roll tactics overnight.

(Subparagraph) In the tactical analysis room of Madison Square Garden, Thibodeau is adjusting the defensive formation against the three-dimensional tactical simulation system. This coach, known as the godfather of defense, quietly completed the tactical iteration in the series - when the Celtics double-Tanhua started the pick-and-roll, the Knicks' defensive trap was no longer limited to traditional weak side defense, but built a three-dimensional protective net through Harten's mobility. Data shows that Tatum's shooting percentage dropped sharply to 28.6% in the fourth quarter of G2, a 22 percentage point drop from the regular season average.

(paragraph 3) The crisis in Boston exists not only at the tactical level. The load management report provided by the medical team shows that Porzingis' lateral movement speed in the series fell by 0.3 meters per second compared to the first round, which directly led to a decline in the quality of the Celtics' high pick-and-roll. In sharp contrast, the Knicks core Brunson's physical distribution is exemplary. He averaged 8.2 points in the last six minutes of the game, and his real shooting percentage remained at a terrifying 67.3%. The

(Part 4) series turning point occurred at the end of the third quarter of G1. When the Celtics entered the fourth quarter with a 12-point advantage, the Knicks suddenly switched to the five-squad lineup, a forward combination composed of Divinchenzo and McBride, which increased the pace of the game by 15%. This shifting strategy successfully disrupted Horford's defensive position, and the veteran's defensive efficiency value plummeted to -9.7 in the final stage. Thibodeau's adventure substitution gained miraculous results: the Knicks substitute players' plus or negative values ​​totaled +21, while the Celtics' bench data is -18.

(Part 5) The winner of G3 may be hidden in the secret battle outside the three-point line. Although the Celtics ranked third in the league in the regular season three-point shooting percentage, their catch-and-shooting percentage dropped by 9 percentage points in the series against the Knicks' strong interference strategy. It is worth noting that White's vacancy control in the bottom corner area remains at a high level of 43.8%, which may become a key weapon to crack New York's joint defense.

(paragraph 6) What New Yorkers need to be wary of is the warning of historical data. Since the NBA introduced the three-point line, the probability of teams leading 2-0 away games is as high as 93.7%, but 12% of the series have been dragged into tiebreak. What is more interesting is that in the four 0-2 series in the Celtics' history, three of which dragged the game into Game 6. When Tatum practices back-to-body singles in training, it may imply that Boston will change the starting point of the offensive. The details in the referee's report are also worthy of attention. The three missed decisions in the last two minutes of G2 were not conducive to the Celtics, including a key offensive path foul. Although the league will not change the penalty results as a result, the referee team's dictation scale for physical confrontation may affect the tactical arrangement of G3. The Knicks need to control Hart's fouls, and the defensive strongman's net efficiency reached +11.3, which is an important barrier to limit Brown's breakthrough.

(Last stage) When the two teams of buses entered Manhattan, data modelers were updating the prediction model. According to the latest imported player movement data, if the Celtics can control the pace of the game below 95 times per 48 rounds, the winning rate will increase to 58.4%. What the Knicks need to be wary of is that 21% of their opponents have reversed in the game where they are more than 15 points at home this season. The ultimate answer to this tactical game may be hidden in the mezzanine of Thibodeau and Mazula.