The second round is 2-1, the US media updated the probability of winning the championship! The Warriors fell to 2.7% and ranked first at the top of the list as high as 53.3%

After the first three games of the second round of the playoffs, the four teams in the east and west were all 2-1. In this case, the US media "theanalyst" also announced the latest winning probability based on the big data model update, with the Warriors falling to 2.7% to the bottom, and the top 53.3%.

The scores in the east are as follows: Pacers 2-1 Cavaliers, Knicks 2-1 Celtics;

West: Nuggets 2-1 Thunder, Timberwolves 2-1 Warriors.

8th place: Warriors (2.7%)

In the absence of Curry, the Warriors G2 and G3 lost consecutively. Compared with G2's defeat, G3 returned to home. The Warriors had the chance to win the "Little King Mountain". Not only did the core Butler burn out, but Kumingga also scored 30 points and became the biggest surprise.

As a result, the inside core dream was lost again when Curry was absent, which eventually led to the team's regret of losing the key G3.

Because famous reporter Shams revealed that the Warriors believed that Curry would wait until G6 to return as early as possible, the situation after losing G3 was obviously extremely unfavorable for the Warriors, and they could only expect G4 to equalize the score, otherwise the G5 Timberwolves would likely return to their home court and harvest the series.

No. 7: Pacers (3.3%)

Pacers lost G3 like the Warriors, but with their winning streaks, the Pacers still led 2-1 with a big score.

is regarded as bad because the Cavaliers were not in a state of disrespect when they lost the first two games. After the G3 staff was intact, they quickly won a big victory, showing the gap between the two teams in terms of hard strength.

6th place: Nuggets (3.5%)

Nuggets are the only team that won the G3 Little King, but ranked in the lower half of the zone, and the probability of advancing in the second round is also the lowest 15.4%.

In fact, it can also understand why the US media has always underestimated the Nuggets, because according to big data statistics, the Nuggets, which narrowly won both games, obviously did not have the title of the Thunder, which was a big victory in G2.

However, the data sometimes lie, especially in the playoffs. The advantages of the Nuggets such as the championship-winning team in terms of psychology, experience, coordination and mental strength are difficult to be intuitively reflected in the data level, but these really affect the winning and losing trend of the game. As the G3 Nuggets defeated the Thunder in overtime, they currently have obvious advantages and initiatives.

5th place: Knicks (3.5%)

Knicks lead 2-1, but loses G3 like the Pacers, and the two teams are in similar condition. If the opponent is in full health, the Knicks are the teams at a disadvantage in the series, just like the Pacers.

In addition, Towns suffered from injuries, Thibodeau's excessive overdrawing of the main players gradually exposed, and the Celtics regained their feel in G3, the Knicks' prospects are not optimistic.

4th place: Timberwolves (4.7%)

Compared with the absolute dominance shown in the first round against the Lakers, the Timberwolves' shortcomings and problems were exposed in the second round against the Warriors.

Especially the misaligned swaps of the inside core Gobert and the scoring stability of the outside core Edwards. If Curry had not been troubled by injuries, the Timberwolves would have been the lagging side, so the probability of advancing to the next round with a score of 2-1 was only 56%.

Third place: Celtics (9.5%)

When the Pope still had no full blood, the Celtics, which regained their outside feel, beat the Knicks in G3.

Plus the first two games were also a big reversal of 20 points. As long as the condition is normal, the Celtics are obviously the more dominant side. However, the 1-2-decided score has prevented the team from relaxing for the time being, and the probability of winning the championship has also fallen below 10% for the first time.

Second place: Cavaliers (19.5%)

Like the Celtics, G3 won a goal away after losing two home games in a row. The only difference between

G3 and the first two games is that the three main players, Garland, Hunter and Mobley, will return. Whether the three can continue to appear will also determine the trend of the series. The reason why

is optimistic when the score is 1-2 is mainly because Mitchell's condition is too hot, and he averaged 41+6+6 data per game in the second round.

No. 1: Thunder (53.3%)

After the Thunder lost the key G3, the probability of winning the championship is still more than 50%. Even though they are indeed the side that leads longer in this round of the series, the big score is 1-2 behind.

Unless the Thunder can defeat the Nuggets in a stalemate, such a probability obviously overestimates the Thunder.