Today s Sunday 001 Kashima Antlers VS Kashima Sun God event analysis

Based on today's pre-match information, the match between Kashima Antlers and Kashima Sun God is comprehensively analyzed. Combined with the team's status, injury status, tactical characteristics and historical confrontation factors, the prediction is as follows:

1. Recent status and league rankings

1. Kashima Antlers

have only 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in the last 6 rounds of the league, and suffered three consecutive losses in the league (losed to Kawasaki, Okayama, and Machida), conceded 2.3 goals per game, and the defense has declined significantly.

Although he narrowly defeated the low-level team Nagasaki Nagasaki 2-1 in the Emperor Cup, he consumed the main physical strength and lacked gold content, and his condition did not recover substantially.

currently ranks fourth with 41 points, 3 points behind the Sun God of the Borussia and has fallen out of the AFC qualification zone.

2. The Sun God

has won 4 wins and 2 draws in the last 6 official games (3 wins and 1 draw in the league), scoring 11 goals and conceding only 4 goals, with balanced offense and defense.

leads the standings with 44 points, with a away record of the Japanese Professional League (7 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss in 12 away games, with a winning rate of 58.3%).

2. Injuries and lineup impact

1. Kashima Kaornets

Defense line crisis: The main central defenders Yuki Anxi (cruciate ligament strain) and Ikuman Kashikawa (tearing knee ligament) are absent for a long time. The substitute central defender combination has weak ability to assist in defense, and the success rate of high-altitude top-square top is only 49%, and he has conceded consecutive goals in the last 5 games.

Midfielder: The core three-pole battle in the Emperor Cup for 120 minutes, and its physical fitness is worrying; the absence of a low midfielder Eiyu (metatarsal fracture) caused the ball possession rate to drop to 52%.

2. Kashiwa Sun God

The three midfielders were injured (Yanhei Tezuka, Riki Haragakawa, Mitsuki Kumasaka), but the forward core Yuki Gakida (8 goals) and Fujiro Kubo (3 goals in the last 4 rounds) were both healthy, and the defender core Koga Suns returned to the team to stabilize the defense line. The completeness of the

lineup is 80%, and substitute goalkeeper Wen Zhengren has completed one clean sheet in the last three games, which has not significantly affected the stability.

3. Tactical counterattacks and advantages and disadvantages

Kashima plays a cross from the wing: adopting a 4-4-2 formation, relying on the forward combination of Suzuki Yuma (10 goals, heading success rate 73%) and Seala (13 goals), but the full-back assists and returns to defend slowly, which is easy to be targeted by counterattacks.

Kashima Suns counterattack efficient: The 4-3-3 system emphasizes midfield interception (15.2 steals per game) and fast conversion, with counterattack scores accounting for 35%; winger Savio (speed 34km/h) can impact Kashima veteran Yuzawa Yushi Yamada.

The set ball has a steady defense, with a point loss rate of only 12%, which can effectively limit Kashima's high-altitude advantage (61% success rate of high-altitude).

4. Historical confrontations and home advantage

Kashima has won 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 confrontations, and has won 3-1 away in the first leg of this season.

Kashima has a 67% home winning rate (12 mains 8 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses), but recently, the home league has 1 draw and 1 loss, and its dominance has been loose.

Kashima Sun God has won 1 win and 2 losses in the past three away games against Kashima. He reversed 2-1 last season and was not at a disadvantage.

5. Results prediction

Winning tendency: Kashima's defense line is incomplete + midfield out of control, Kashima Suns has balanced offense and defense and sufficient away game resilience. Institutional data turned to support the away team, and the Asian index adjusted from the initial main draw to the away draw half, and the European away odds dropped to 2.50 (the main win rose to 2.80).

The unbeaten pattern of Bai Sun God is clear (the probability of away win is 38% vs. the main win is 36%).

score reference: 1-1 or 0-1 (Bai Sun God wins or draws). If Kashima takes advantage of home and forwards, it may be 1-0, but the probability is low (institutional forecast is only 10%).

Summary: With its away dominance (4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 6 away games) and a more complete main framework, Kashima Suns is expected to find opportunities in the loopholes in Kashima's defense line. Although Kashima has historical confrontation and psychological advantages, it is difficult to support the victory due to injury troubles and a sluggish state. It is optimistic that Kashima Sun God will not be defeated away (the draw is inclined to the away team), focusing on defending the draw.