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Serie A Preview: AC Milan VS Bologna, the Red and Black Legion wants to take revenge, attacking European war qualifications
4:56am, 15 May 2025【Football】
At 2:45 am on May 14, a focus battle will take place in the 36th round of Serie A, with AC Milan taking on Bologna at the San Siro Stadium. This is not only a competition of league rankings, but also because the two teams are about to meet in the Italian Cup final, which makes this game full of extra gunpowder.
1. Points ranking and fighting spirit
AC Milan has a rough journey of Serie A this season, and has 57 points and is temporarily ranked 9th after 35 rounds. Although it is only 6 points away from the European War Zone, there are many powerful teams in the middle. In addition, with the Italian Cup final coming soon, the Ross and Blacks face tremendous pressure to fight on both sides. In the league, we will strive to score points and strive for the qualification for the European competition, and at the same time we must retain physical fitness and avoid injuries for the cup finals. How to balance the two has become a major problem for the team.
Bologna is a dark horse in Serie A this season, ranking 7th with 62 points after 35 rounds, only 1 point behind the Champions League. For this team mainly composed of young players, every point is related to the qualification for the Champions League next season, and the fighting spirit is extremely strong. They also long for a morale and psychological advantage through this league victory before the upcoming Italian Cup final.
2. Recent status
AC Milan's status has rebounded significantly recently, and has won three consecutive victories in various competitions. The away game against Inter Milan was a classic battle this season and greatly enhanced the team's morale. The team's 2-1 away game in Serie A also showed the team's tenacious fighting spirit. On the offensive end, the team has fully fired away in the last three away games and hit 9 goals; on the defensive end, he has achieved zero marks in the last three games. However, AC Milan performed poorly at home, conceding 9 of the last 10 home games, and the defense line has been quite a risk.
Bologna's form has fluctuated recently, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in the last 5 rounds. It is worth mentioning that they defeated the leader Inter Milan 1-0 last round, showing strong resilience. The team has strong home fighting power, with a home record of 10 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss this season; but its away performance is slightly inferior, and its offensive efficiency has declined, and it has failed to score in four of its last seven away games.
3. Injuries and lineup
AC Milan's defensive core Romanioli and midfielder Biglia were absent due to injury, which had a certain impact on the team's offense and defense ends. However, Leo is in good shape and has contributed 18 goals and 8 assists this season, which is a key figure in the team's offense; goalkeeper Meinion plays steadily and provides solid guarantees for the team's defense.
Bologna has a complete lineup, no important players are injured, and the head coach can line up the strongest lineup to play, which has a certain advantage in personnel configuration.
4. Tactical style
AC Milan focuses on offensive tactics combining sides and middle schools, relying on Leo's personal breakthrough ability to tear open the opponent's defense line. The midfield is organized in an orderly manner and has strong ball-control ability. But as mentioned above, there are loopholes in the team's home defense, which is easy for opponents to seize the opportunity to counterattack.
Bologna focuses on defensive counterattack tactics, has a strict defensive system, and is good at using the space left behind by the opponent when attacking, launching a fast counterattack. The wide-side fast horse Orsolini is the core figure in the team's counterattack, but his away offense is weak, averaging only 7.2 key passes per game.
5. Historical confrontations
In the past 10 Serie A confrontations, AC Milan has the upper hand, achieving a record of 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss. However, in the first leg of this season, Bologna reversed AC Milan 2-1 at home, ending the embarrassing record of losing 17 games, which undoubtedly added them to their psychological advantage.
6. In terms of score forecasts and market data
mainstream forecasts, AC Milan is more likely to win a small victory (2-1). Given Milan's home advantage and their outstanding offensive form recently, they are expected to score and win at home. But Bologna's defensive resilience cannot be underestimated, and Milan's hidden dangers in defense may also be exploited by their opponents, so there is a certain probability of the result of the draw (1-1).
In terms of handicap and odds, the initial AC Milan made half the ball, and the future market was adjusted to half, and the main winning odds were raised, which shows that the market's confidence in the home team has weakened, and Bologna's expectations for points have increased. In terms of big and small balls, mainstream institutions tend to have 2.5 balls. Combined with the recent offensive and defensive performances of the two teams, the possibility of a small score is higher.
7. Potential variables and referee factors
In terms of weather and venue, the weather was clear and the temperature was appropriate. The turf of the San Siro Stadium was in good condition, which was conducive to both sides' technical and tactical level.
In terms of referee scale, referee Maresca has a relatively loose enforcement style, which may be beneficial to Bologna, who is good at physical confrontation. At the same time, VAR is cautious in making judgments, and players’ actions in the penalty area should pay special attention to standardization.
Overall, AC Milan has played at home and has recently recovered in form, performed well on the offensive end and has certain advantages. But Bologna is strong in fighting, has a stable defense, and has won the first leg of the season, so she is not psychologically inferior. This game is very likely to be a fierce competition, and AC Milan has a high possibility of a small victory or a draw. However, football matches are full of uncertainty and any outcome is possible. Whether AC Milan succeeds in revenge at home or whether Bologna continues to maintain good form and strives for the Champions League qualification, let's wait and see.
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