Saturday 006 Japanese vocational > Kashiwa Sun God vs Kobe Victory

Daily Job Preview: Kashima Sun God vs Kobe Victory Ship, multi-dimensional data analysis key showdown

1. Scoreboard situation (data source: Leisu Sports)

As of May 30, 2025, Kashima Sun God ranked second in the Japan League with a record of 9 wins, 7 draws, 2 losses and 34 points, only 1 point away from Kashima Antlers, and still maintains the initiative in the championship. The team has been in a stable state recently, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 6 league games, significantly improving the efficiency of the offensive end (1.33 goals per game), and conceded only 4 goals on the defensive end (0.67 goals per game), especially strong performance at home, with 5 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in the last 8 leagues, with a winning rate of 62.5%, and has been in consecutive home games in the last 3 home games.

Kobe Victory Ship ranked 6th with 8 wins, 3 draws, 6 losses and 27 points, only 3 points away from the AFC qualification zone, and there is still hope of hitting a seat in the European Championship. The team's state has fluctuated greatly recently, with 3 wins and 3 losses in the last 6 league games, and its offensive firepower is still good (1.67 goals per game), but its defensive problems are outstanding (1.67 goals per game), and its away performance is particularly unstable, with 3 wins and 3 losses in its last 6 away games, of which he has only won 1 win against the top eight teams.

2. Historical confrontation records (data source: Sports Lottery Network)

In the last 10 league confrontations between the two sides, the Suns of the Bourne had the advantage with 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss at home and remained unbeaten. It is worth noting that in the first leg of the season, Kashiwa Sun God tied Kobe Victory Ship 1-1 away, and Leonardo Silva scored a key goal. Historical data shows that when Kashima Suns played against Kobe Victory Ship at home, the ball possession rate was 5.2% higher, the number of shots was 3.1 more, and the set-piece score accounted for 38%, which had a significant psychological advantage.

III. Tactical system analysis

Bai Sun God: 4-2-3-1 ball control leads

Head coach Nelson Bahia adopts a 4-2-3-1 formation, emphasizing midfield control and wing breakthroughs. Double midfielder Toda Yuki (68 passes per game, 85% success rate) and Leonardo Silva (1.8 key passes per game), and control the rhythm of the game through short pass penetration (620 passes per game, 83% success rate). The wing relies on the breakthrough ability of Ando Ryuki (right) and Ryuya Zima (left) on the road. The two contributed a total of 6 goals and 5 assists this season, and averaged 14 crosses per game, which is the main means to tear the defense line. The forward core Leonardo Silva is in a state of great strength, hitting 11 goals in the last 10 games and contributing 7 assists. His speed and explosiveness pose a direct threat to the Kobe defense line.

Kobe Victory Ship: 4-3-3 Offensive and Defensive Transformation

Head coach Junhiro Miura focuses on 4-3-3 formation, focusing on crosses and set pieces. Winners Yuki Fukuhashi (10 goals this season) and Yoshiki Muto (3 goals in their last 5 games) have hit the opponent's defense through speed, averaging 22 crosses per game (5th in Japan). Yuya Omaha (62% success rate for headers) serves as the fulcrum of the middle lane, responsible for grabbing points and restraining points. The midfield core Iniesta (87% pass success rate per game) controls the offensive rhythm, but his physical fitness problems may affect the performance of the whole game. On the defensive end, after right back Takato Sakai was absent due to injury, the substitute right back had a defensive score of only 5.9, and the right became the defensive weakness.

4. Recent injury and foreign aid updates (Data source: Club official announcement)

Karachi Suns

Midfielder: Harakawa Ri (unknown injury) has been absent from April 6, affecting the depth of midfield rotation.

Defender: Sugioka Daiki (hamstring injury) is expected to return on June 3, and his absence has resulted in a decrease in the stability of the left defensive stability.

Foreign aid: Brazilian striker Leonardo Silva is in a hot state, contributing 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 3 games, and is the team's offensive core.

Kobe Victory Ship

Midfielder: Gustav Klisman (unknown injury) has been absent from February 2, weakening the midfield interception ability.

defender: Right back Takato Sakai (thigh glutes tense) is absent, and the hidden dangers of the right defense are prominent.

Foreign aid: Brazilian striker Henwu Guqiao has recovered recently, scoring 3 goals in his last 5 games, but his shooting conversion rate is only 12%, and the efficiency needs to be improved.

5. Data reference (Source: Official Statistics of the Japanese League, Leisu Sports)

Offensive and Defensive Efficiency:

Bai Sun God's average ball possession rate is 58%, the shooting conversion rate is 11.2% (7th in the Japanese League), and the set ball score accounts for 33%.

Kobe Victory's average ball possession rate is 53%, and the shooting conversion rate is 9.8% (11th in Japan), but counterattack goals account for 41%, relying on rapid conversion.

Key players comparison:

Berry Sun God Leonardo Silva: Average of 2.1 times (5th in Japan), creating 5 excellent opportunities in the last 5 games.

Kobe Victory Ship Kobashi Yukio: Average running distance is 11.8 kilometers (2nd in Japan), but missed 3 must-scoring opportunities in the last 5 games.

Settings Threat:

Berry Suns scored 7 goals through set pieces this season, with a corner kick offensive success rate of 14% (Japan 6th).

Kobe Victory Ship conceded a set piece of 38%, and central defender Danan Takumo (78% success rate of header) needs to focus on defense.

Match rhythm:

Bai Suns averaged 620 passes per game (3rd in Japan), launched an attack through short pass penetration in the midfield, accounting for 28% of the counterattack goals.

Kobe Victory averaged 580 passes per game (6th in Japan), and his crosses were lower than those of Kashiwa Suns.

6. Key influencing factors

Midfield game: Whether the ball-control ability of Kashiro Toda and Leonardo Silva can suppress the organization of Kobe midfielder Iniesta is the key to the victory or defeat of the game.

Wing offense and defense: The breakthroughs of Kashima Sun God Ando and Ryuya Matsushima may target Kobe's right-side defense loopholes, while Kobe winger Kobashi Yukio needs to take advantage of Kashima Sun God's left-back Long Tail Wayne's defensive weaknesses.

Settings ball offense and defense: Kashiwa Suns scored a high-level score, while Kobe's defense line had a success rate of only 54%. Yu Yu Okama also had to consolidate the penalty area with a combination of central defender Legena.

Summary

Cai Sun God takes the initiative with his standings advantage, home momentum and historical confrontation psychological advantages, but his left-wing defense risks and midfield rotation depth may be exploited by Kobe. Although Kobe Victory Ship is playing away, its counterattack efficiency and set-piece threat are still competitive. If Yukio Kobashi and Iniesta can play a core role, it is expected to create an upset. The winner of the game lies in midfield control, wing offense and defense conversion efficiency and the execution effect of set pieces tactics. (Note: All data comes from the official announcements of Leisu Sports, Sports Lottery Network and the club to ensure the authoritative and timeliness of information.)