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The probability of winning the NBA is updated in real time: Warriors 0.8%, Wolves 29.5%, Knicks 15%, Where are the Nuggets?

8:49am, 17 May 2025【Basketball】

The second round of the NBA playoffs reached the fourth game, with the three groups reaching 3:1, and only the Nuggets and the Thunder tied 2:2, and the battle for Tianwang Mountain is about to take place.

Then you might as well make a championship prediction now:

1, Celtics.

They, the second and defended champions in the Eastern Conference, suffered a Waterloo. Not only did they lose both home games, but they also suffered a third reversal in the second away game. What's worse than falling behind 1:3 is that the star Tatum's Achilles tendon ruptured and was reimbursed for the season. So their chances of winning the championship are basically gone, with only 0.2%.

2, Knicks.

Most people were not optimistic about them before the game, but their "donkey" spirit slapped many people in the face. Facing the defending champion, they achieved three games against the wind and three games, and each game was at least 19 points behind. It is basically a foregone conclusion to pass the Celtics. It also has an advantage over the Pacers, and may be slightly inferior to the finals. The probability of winning the championship is 15%.

, the top spot in the Eastern Conference and second in the league, is also quite disappointing. Facing the Pacers, he is basically powerless to resist, especially in the fourth game, he was 41 points behind in the first half and scored only 39 points. It is not an exaggeration for netizens to give him the "strongest pseudo-strong team"? The probability of winning the championship is 0.5%, which is almost impossible.

4. Walker.

Pacers can be regarded as dark horses. The combination of Harry, Turner, and Siakam looks average, but the power is still OK when fighting. However, the Eastern Conference Finals is probably at a disadvantage against the Knicks. If they can make a role, they can't beat a team like the Timberwolves Thunder. The probability of winning the championship is 13%.

After losing Curry, the Warriors completely changed to another team. They no longer had the advantage in the three-point outside line, and there was no strong point in the inside line, so there was basically no hope of a comeback. The probability of winning the championship is 0.8%.

6. Timberwolves. They basically booked tickets to the Western Conference Finals, who were leading by

3:1. If the Nuggets advance, the Timberwolves have a greater advantage. Even if the Thunder advances, the Timberwolves can basically win 55. So they are the biggest favorite at the moment, with a 32.5% chance of winning the championship.

The Nuggets' bench is too short and the defense cannot keep up, so they will definitely be at a disadvantage when facing the Thunder. Even if they pass the Thunder, they will not have the advantage when facing the Timberwolves, so it is very difficult for them to enter the finals. The probability of winning the championship is 10%.

The Thunder's lineup is deep enough, and the overall age is in its prime. There are also MVP superstar leaders. They will also be the favorites to win the championship, with a probability of 27.5%.