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The craziest counterattack script of the NBA: Four virgins "League encircled the O Brien Cup, Thunder Seven Seconds Storm subverted the logic of the dynasty for 20 years
7:49pm, 20 May 2025【Basketball】
When the defending champion Nuggets defeated the Thunder with 32 points in the tiebreak battle, the NBA ushered in the craziest counterattack script in nearly 20 years. The four "zero crowns" teams of Thunder, Timberwolves, Knicks and Pacers met in the division finals, launching the ultimate challenge to the traditional tycoon with youth storm, iron-blooded will and tactical revolution. The latest probability of winning the championship by the US media shows that the Thunder leads with an absolute advantage of 60%, followed by the Knicks (17%), Timberwolves (14%) and Pacers (10%). This epic showdown of the old and new may permanently change the league pattern.
Thunder:
This youth team with an average age of 24.3 years old has the first place in the playoff net win +11.2, with a fast break score of 23.8 points and a gap-breaking lead, with a steal rate of 12.7%. Alexander (average 32.7 points) and Homgren (14.8 points, 9.3 rebounds, 3.1 blocks) are "static and dynamic dual cores" supplemented by Jaylen Williams' all-round performance to build a tactical system that integrates offense and defense. Head coach Dagenut's original "early exchange and early collection" strategy controls the average time of core players within 34 minutes, and reserves energy for a long-term battle. It is worth noting that in the series where the Thunder swept the Timberwolves in the regular season, Edwards averaged only 18 points per game, revealing his opponent's tactical weakness.
Knicks: The "seven-man rotation" created by Thibodeau is challenging the limits of the human body. The starting lineup led by Brunson (averages 34.8 points per game) and Hart (averages 48 minutes in three consecutive games), averaged 37.1 minutes per game, far exceeding the league average. This strategy of "killing one thousand enemies and losing 800 yourself" has shown hidden dangers: when playing against the Pacers in the second round, Divinchenzo's single-game positive and negative value and Brunson's hit rate plummeted, reflecting the crisis of physical collapse. Medical experts warn that if the core player suffers from injuries (Brunson's old left knee injury and Towns' ankle hidden danger), this grand formation with the bottom depth may collapse instantly.
Timberwolves:
The wolf pack that eliminated the defending champion Nuggets, but fell into the "natal enemy curse". When Gobert + Downs' double tower combination faced the Thunder's five small lineup, the weakness of slow movement on the defensive end was infinitely amplified - he lost all four games in the regular season, with a net loss of 8.7 points per game. Randall (27.8 points and 11.3 rebounds) has always had a dislocation advantage in positional battles, but when facing the Thunder's 12.7% steal rate, his 4.1 turnovers per game may become a fatal flaw. The key proposition that head coach Finch needs to solve is: how to keep up with the speeding wave of modern basketball while maintaining the inside dominance.
Pacers: The "Ten-player rotation + five-for-one tactics" created by Carlisle is subverting traditional basketball cognition with an average of 126.3 points and 41.2% three-point shooting percentage. This tactical system originated from Dean Smith's "two-second shot" concept, through Halliburton's (26.3 points and 7.9 assists), achieved a balanced offensive of 6 players in the team's average score in double-digit games. But there are still hidden dangers on the defensive end: they rank 11th in the playoffs and face the Thunder's fast attack average of 23.8 points per game, their speed of retreating will face severe tests.
Thunder represents data-driven modern basketball, the Knicks interprets the survival wisdom of iron-blooded tradition, the Timberwolves stick to the classicism of inside supremacy, and the Pacers interpret the ultimate aesthetics of the space revolution. Historical experience shows that 60% of the teams who have won the championship in the past 20 years rank in the top three in the net efficiency value of the playoffs, while the Thunder currently ranks first in this data.
But the charm of competitive sports lies in uncertainty - just as when the Knicks created the "Black Eight Miracle" in 1999, its probability of winning was only 0.2%. At this moment, the gears of the destiny of the four grassroots giants have turned, and no matter who wins the O'Brien Cup in the end, they are destined to make a brilliant mark in the NBA chronicles.
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