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Rockets are eliminated and the US media updates the probability of winning the championship, and the Warriors soar to the fifth top 48.8%
2:47am, 12 May 2025【Basketball】
The Rockets collapsed in the tiebreak, and Hilde actually made 9 of 11 three-pointers!
Theanalyst updated the latest chance of winning the championship, and the Warriors soared from no one to fifth place overnight. But to be honest, the Warriors' 48.8% winning rate, I feel that it is very hydrated no matter how I look at it.
Who would have thought that the Warriors could win before the tiebreak? The Rockets have the advantage at home and are young and physically energetic. As a result, Hilde, a guy who is usually silent, suddenly explodes and directly sends the Rockets home to fish. As a fan who watched the whole game, all I can say is: the playoffs are really full of uncertainty and anything can happen.
The four semi-finals have now been released: the Pacers lead the Cavaliers 1-0, the Celtics play against the Knicks; the West is the Thunder VS Nuggets, the Timberwolves VS Warriors. To be honest, this matchup situation completely disrupted my playoff expectations.
What surprised me the most was the walker. This team that was unanimously dissatisfied, G1 defeated the Cavaliers away! Halliburton slapped those "most overrated players" with his performance of 22 points and 13 assists. Seeing him breaking through the inside in the last moment and scoring to finish the game, I can only say: It’s so delicious!
Knicks ranked seventh with only 2.1% chance of winning the championship, and this team did have a difficult first round. Although Brunson has the style of a star, the Knicks have very little advantage in the face of the Celtics. The data shows that the probability of their promotion is only 22.5%, which is lower than that of Pacers, which I think is quite reasonable.
Why did the defending champion of the Nuggets win a championship rate of 2.5%? Although they were indeed a little confused in the late regular season, they showed strong resilience and foundation when facing the Clippers in the first round. Jokic is as stable as Mount Tai, Murray, Westbrook and Gordon are taking turns to stand up.
But the problem is that they face the thunder in the next round.
The young team of the Thunder has excellent overall depth and balanced offense and defense. Unless Murray can continue to explode, it will be difficult for the Nuggets to win. I personally feel that the Nuggets' probability of winning the championship should be higher than the Warriors, and this data is a bit outrageous.
Back to the Warriors, although they won the tiebreak, that game was too much. The Warriors have indeed become the most optimistic team in the second half of the second round, with a 40.3% chance of defeating the Timberwolves. But as a fan who has watched them all season, it’s hard to believe that this aging Warriors can beat the young and strong Timberwolves with severe overdrawn strength.
Timberwolves ranked fourth with a 5.2% chance of winning the championship. Indeed, meeting the Warriors instead of the Rockets is good news for them. If they can maintain their performance against the Lakers in the first round, it will be difficult for the Warriors to find a winning weapon.
The third place is the Celtic, with a 14.9% chance of winning the championship. As the defending champion, this ranking is really a bit low. The US media is more optimistic about their advancement in the second round, but thinks that their probability of breaking out of the East is lower than that of the Cavaliers. The Cavaliers ranked second with a 21.9% chance, although G1 lost to the Pacers. Big Data is still optimistic about them, after all, Garland did not play in G1, and they did show top offenses in the regular season and the first round. But judging from the performance of G1, when the Cavaliers face stronger opponents, they still exposed a lot of problems.
Finally, there is the Thunder, who ranked first with a 48.8% chance of winning the championship. I have to admit that the Thunder did play a fault-level dominance in the regular season and in the first round.
But the playoffs are the stage for stars, not the game of data.
Alexander's performance in the first round was not as good as he imagined. As the playoffs deepened and without the regular season's call advantage, it is still hard to say whether he can continue to dominate the game. In my opinion, this nearly 50% chance of winning is a bit exaggerated.
In any case, the playoffs have entered a white-hot stage, and these data predictions are just references. The real game is always more exciting and harder to predict than the data. Who do you think will win the championship in the end?
Statement: The information in this article comes from the Internet and is not guaranteed to be completely correct and is for reference only.
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