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It s overblown! Take a look at the five major players who were seriously overrated at the moment in the current service, and Trae Young leads the lead
4:39pm, 28 June 2025【Basketball】
When it comes to the most popular NBA rookie this year, there is no doubt that it is Cooper Flag. He is 2.06 meters tall and 2.13 meters tall and his wingspan is a typical all-round fighter. Looking back at Flag's college performance, although he is only 18 years old, he still played a very dominant performance. In his freshman season, Flag averaged 19.2 points, 7.5 rebounds, 4.2 assists, 1.4 steals and 1.4 blocks. Under his leadership, Duke University also won the ACC division championship. Flag's draft template is considered to be the active Tatum, and some even said that he is expected to be the next Bird, which shows that he has been placed in great expectations before he can play in an NBA game.
However, even though Flag is talented, no one can guarantee that he will reach the maximum expected limit after entering the league. You should know that there are too many parallel rookies in NBA history. How many people have been predicted to be Jordan's successor and James' successor, but the facts have proved that those players are still far from worthy of such titles. Next, we have listed the top five players who have been seriously overrated in active service. They all have extremely high ceiling draft templates when entering the league, but now many years have passed, they have proved that they do not have that ability!
5. Jaylen Green
Draft template: Jordan/Kobe
As one of the highest-profile rookies in the NBA in recent years, when Green participated in the draft in 2021, although he was the second place, his popularity was no less than the No. 1 pick. His draft template was once known as the existence of "upper Jordan and lower limit Kobe". The most important reason why Green can get such a high evaluation is of course that his physical fitness is indeed outstanding, especially his dynamic talent. There are very few players among the rookies in the same class.
In this case, Green naturally received the Rockets' reuse after entering the league. He started firmly in the rookie season, and averaged 30+ minutes per game and 15 sports games per game. However, in this way, Green exposed his shortcomings more clearly. In terms of personal offense, Green's control skills and rhythm are average, so he can only rely on speed and explosive power, and this also leads to him relying heavily on outside shooting, averaging 6.8 three-pointers per game in 14.2 shots per game, but at the same time his shooting is not stable, so Green is a very inefficient scorer in the rookie season.
In addition, Green's game reading, defense and other aspects are very unsatisfactory. The most important thing is that it has been three years now, and most of his shortcomings have not made any obvious progress, so he can't count on it at all in the high-end game. This year's playoffs, Green averaged only 13.3 points per game, shooting 37.2%, and had no highlights on the defensive end, so he was indeed put on the trading shelves in the offseason.
4.LonzoBauer
Draft template: Kidd, who averaged 14.6 points, 6 rebounds and 7.6 assists in college, is easily associated with the defenders who play well in history. Therefore, his draft template was also the famous Jason Kidd, and even his physical fitness was better than the latter. However, after entering the league, Ball still failed to realize his talent, which was mainly reflected in his personal offense. In the rookie season, he averaged 10.2 points, 6.9 rebounds, 7.2 assists and 1.7 steals. He was indeed comprehensive on both offense and defense, but at that time his shooting percentage was less than 40% and his three-point shooting percentage was only 30.5%.
Although Ball's projection recovered, his personal attacking ability was still not satisfactory, which also determines that he cannot become an All-Star defender in this era. Later, Ball suffered from serious injuries, which directly led to a plunge in his strength and value. This season, he averaged only 7.6 points, 3.4 rebounds, 3.3 assists, 1.3 steals, and a shooting percentage of 36.6%. Ball played 35 games in the regular season, with only 27 shots at the basket in total, and his shooting percentage was far lower than the league average. Therefore, from this, we can see that Ball can basically only play the role of a pure pitcher on the offensive end, and no one knows how long he can play healthy.
3. Zhaien
Draft template: Barkley
Zhaien can be said to be the most popular star in the NCAA during his college years. His flying and earth-shaking style play is extremely attractive, so he also locked in the No. 1 pick in the 2019 class early. At that time, his draft template was former MVP Barkley, and some people said that he would be the real successor of James. After entering the league, Tsai proved that his talent was indeed amazing. He averaged 27+7 in the second year of his career, and his shooting percentage was still as high as 61.1%.
But then Zhai was entangled with injuries, which led to him not making any progress any more, and now people doubt whether he will never be able to finish a season healthy. Although Tsai is still very young, he obviously cannot become a MVP-level star. For the sake of health, he can only lose weight, but losing weight will affect his strength. Moreover, because there is no projection, Tsai is not unsolvable on the court, so his current situation is quite difficult to deal with.
2.Simmons
Draft template: Magic Johnson
No need to say more about how popular Simmons was. His template is Magic Johnson, and he is believed to be expected to take over the banner from James and become a new league facade. After officially entering the NBA in 2017, Simmons did play well at the beginning, so he was selected for the All-Star, Best Lineup, and Best Defensive Team.. However, at this time, we can see the gap between Simmons and the top star. In this era, he cannot maximize the power of holding the ball without shooting. His shooting is far inferior to James, even with Magic Johnson. In this regard, he can compete with those blue-collar centers. This technical flaw has made Simmons more and more likely to be targeted until he faced the Hawks in the 2021 playoffs, and he was completely exposed. Then we saw that Simmons never returned to the peak again. Coupled with the impact of injuries, he played worse and worse. In the end, he had already become a basic salary this season. It is unknown whether he can find his next job in the NBA.
1. Trae Young
Draft Template: Curry
Trae Young performed quite explosively in college. As a freshman, he averaged 27.4 points and 8.7 assists per game. In this case, even though his physical fitness is very average, he still won the favor of scouts and NBA teams. In the end, he was selected in the fifth pick in the first round when he participated in the draft. Because they are all short and have top-level projection abilities, Trae Young's template is known as Stephen Curry, and some people say that his organizational ability is better than the latter, so he is more like Nash. After entering the league, Trae Young quickly scored another explosive data. In the second year of his career, he averaged 29.6 points, 4.3 rebounds, 8.3 assists and 1.1 steals per game. Later, he was selected into the All-Star and the Best Team, and he also led the team to the division finals. However, no one expected Trae Young's decline to be so sudden. Since 2022, his performance has been getting worse every year. This season, he seems to average 24+11 per game, but his real shooting rate has dropped to 56.7%. With his turnover rate, he often can only provide side effects on the offensive end.
And compared to Curry, Trae Young can be said to be unable to play without the ball at all, which requires him to play better performance in holding the ball. As a result, he has begun to decline now, so it is difficult for you to expect him to have obvious evolution in the future.
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