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Serie A - Naples vs Cagliari: Don t be stunned, don t be cooked ducks fly
8:13pm, 22 May 2025【Football】
Ducks can fly alive, but they can't even move after they are cooked. The cooked ducks were flying, how incredible it was.
Nepoli coached by Conte almost flew away even the cooked ducks. In the 36th round of Serie A, he was tied by weak team Genoa at home, and his lead changed from 4 points to 1 point. In the 37th round of away match, the newly promoted Parma drew again. Fortunately, Inter Milan also drew with his strong rival Lazio at home, otherwise Napoli would have handed over to the top and lost the initiative to compete for the championship. In the last round, Napoli, who had one more point than Inter Milan, could win the championship as long as he defeated Cagliari at home; if he couldn't win, it was really possible that all the cooked ducks would fly.
Naples vs. Cagliari
Nature of the match: Serie A round 38
Match time: May 24 2:45
Naples currently leads the standings with a 1-point advantage. In this game, you only need to win at home to win the Serie A championship after two years. Conte's team has strong defense this season, conceded only 27 goals in 37 rounds of the league, ranking first in Serie A in defensive data.
Cagliari has successfully relegated ahead of schedule (ranked 14th). He has lost 4 games in the last 6 league rounds and has weak away offense. He has failed to score in 4 of his last 8 away games, and his intentions are doubtful.
Naples has core players on both offense and defense: the front line relies on the impact of Lukaku (which contributed 13 goals and 10 assists this season), and the midfield is connected by McTominay. But the defense line has significant hidden dangers - the main central defenders Juan Jessus, Buongiorno and midfielder Loboteca were absent due to injury, which may weaken the defensive hardness.
Calli's condition has not been stable recently, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the last 10 rounds of the league, and only 4 draws and 5 losses in the last 9 rounds of the league. The offensive core members Pavoletti and Lu Wenbo are absent, and the threat of the front line has dropped significantly. Although the team has shown defensive resilience in a passive situation (only net loss of more than 2 goals against Naples in the last 10 games), it may be difficult to resist the home team's strong attack.
Naples can be called Cagliari's "nemesis". The two sides have played against each other in the last 10 times, with Napoli winning 6 wins 3 draws and 1 loss. In the first leg of this season, Napoli defeated Cagliari 4-0 away. In addition, Napoli's home record is terrifying - 7 wins and 3 draws in the last 10 leagues, and the home winning rate this season is as high as 73%.
Calli is likely to adopt an intensive defensive strategy, posing a "9-0-1" formation to compress space, and try to create a threat through counterattack. In this regard, Naples needs to rely on side pulling and horizontal transmission to consume their opponents. Cagliari's defensive resilience cannot be underestimated, but physical fitness problems can become fatal injuries. Recent games have shown that over time, their defense line is prone to loopholes due to fatigue.
The key to winning or losing this game lies in whether Naples can break the deadlock as soon as possible. If attackers such as Lukaku and McTominai are in good condition, the home team is expected to lock in the victory with their home momentum and tactics. Cagliari lacks the fighting spirit and the support of core players, and it may be difficult to replicate the unpopular performance of tied opponents at home last season.
Predicted score: Naples 2-0 or 3-1 Cagliari.
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