Saturday 036 Ligue 1 [Paris Saint-Germain VS Aussel] The French King is unkind! He is not full! He wants to lose "Hong Xiaoyu" to win and win

Ligue 1 Preview: Paris Saint-Germain vs Ausserl Score Prediction

Paris Saint-Germain 3-0 Ausserl

Core Analysis

1. Comparison of League Situation and Intention

Paris Saint-Germain: Ranked 2nd, 12 points (4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss), scored 10 goals and conceded 4 goals, and was eager to return to the top of the list at home

Ausserl: Ranked 10th, 6 points (2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses), scored 10 goals and conceded 11 goals, and strived to keep a draw

Fighting Intention Assessment: PSG just lost 1-0 to Marseille in the derby, and urgently needed to rebound and return to the victory track; Ausserl 1-0 in the last round Defeated Toulouse, his condition rebounded but his away strength was limited

2. Comparison of home and away performance and status

versus Paris Saint-Germain Aussel's advantaged party has a nearly 10 home game record of 9 wins and 1 loss, 25 goals conceded 6 goals, 0 wins and 10 losses in the last 10 away games, 5 goals conceded 22 goals PSG's offensive efficiency is 2.70 goals per game, the third highest average of 0.8 goals in the league, the middle and lower reaches of the league, the second best average of 1.7 goals per game, the 13th poorest PSG's recent state has 3 wins and 1 draws and 1 loss in the last 5 games, and the last round of Marseille has lost 2 games, 2 wins and 0 draws 3 Losing, defeated Toulouse PSG

3 in the last round. Historical confrontation and psychological advantages

Confrontation History: PSG has won all the last 3 home games against Ausserl, scoring at least 3 goals in each game

Latest confrontation: In April 2025, PSG beat Ausserl 3-1 at home. At that time, PSG shot 9 times, and Ausserl only 1 time

Psychological advantages: Ausserl has only 1 win against PSG in the last 10 times, and has suffered three consecutive losses at the Princes Park Stadium

4. Injuries and lineup impact

PSG Injuries: Dembele (Golden Ball winner), Doe, Bacola and Neves, many other players are injured, but the core lineup remains complete

Ausserl injury: Oppegad (Red card suspension), Diormand, Buayi-Kiara and El-Azuz and other players have been injured and missed

Impact assessment: PSG injuries are mainly concentrated in substitutes, with limited loss of core combat power; Auxerre's defense reorganized, and the away defense stability is further weakened

5. Tactical characteristics and goal expectations

PSG Tactics: 4-3-3 formation, ball possession rate is about 54%, focusing on wing breakthroughs and middle penetration

Li Gangren, Ramos and Claratshelia will form a front trident

Midfielders are composed of Zaire-Emeri, Vitinia and Fabian- Ruiz is composed of, with strong control, and will be more active at home, striving to quickly establish a leading advantage, and strive to quickly establish a leading advantage

Auserre's tactics: 3-4-3 formation, with a ball possession rate of about 47%, and focuses on defensive counterattacks

may adopt a more conservative 5-4-1 formation

Relying on fast conversions on the sidelines and set-piece threats, the offensive end mainly relies on Sinayoko and Ma

Goal expectations: PSG averages 2.5+ goals per game; Auserre's away game conceded 2.2+

Gambling data shows that the probability of total goals > 2.5 is 62%, and the probability of PSG zero-blocking is 55%

6. Gambling data and professional forecasts

Asian handicap: PSG Jean-2.25 The ball, the water level is moderate, and the market is highly optimistic about the home team

European odds data: PSG wins 1.13-1.17, draws 8.00-9.15, Auxerre wins 5.00-17.00

Win rate prediction: PSG wins about 69-75%, draws about 12-15%, Auxerre wins about 8-16%, Professional consensus: Most analytical institutions predict that PSG wins 3-0 or 3-1, with a total of 2-4 goals scored

Conclusion

Comprehensive analysis shows that Paris Saint-Germain will defeat Auxerre 3-0 at home. The main basis is as follows:

The gap between strength and state is obvious: PSG's overall strength is far superior to Ausselle, with strong attack power at home (2.70 goals per game); Ausselle's away performance is disastrous (all losses in the last 10 away games)

Home advantage: PSG has excellent home record (9 wins in the last 10 games); Ausselle's away performance is poor (all losses in the last 10 games), and his away defense is almost collapsed (2.2 goals per game)

Overwhelming advantage in historical confrontation: PSG has won all the home games against Ausselle in the last 3 home games, and has scored at least 3 goals per game; Ausselle has suffered three consecutive losses at Prince Park Stadium

Injury impact is uneven: PSG Injuries are mainly concentrated on substitutes and the core lineup is complete; Auxerre's many key players are absent, and there are obvious loopholes after the reorganization of the defense line

Tactical style restraint: PSG's ball-handling style and wing breakthroughs can effectively target Auxerre's away defense loopholes; Auxerre's difficulty in organizing an effective counterattack

game will present a pattern of PSG leading ball-handling and Auxerre's deep defense. PSG is expected to take advantage of home court advantages and Auxerre's defense loopholes, with Li Gangren, Ramos and Claratshelia each scoring a goal to win. Ausselle is limited by injuries and away games, and it is difficult to pose a substantial threat to PSG goals. In the end, PSG's 3-0 victory over Ausselle at home was the prediction that best suits the current situation and data rules of both sides.

Score prediction: Paris Saint-Germain 3-0 Ausserre