Bournemouth faces Wolves: Premier League relegation warning and European ambitions

When Bournemouth lost Liverpool 2-4 in the heavy rain at Anfield, the real-time winning rate model of data website Opta once jumped to 17.3% - the team coached by Ilaura averaged 21.7 high-pressures per game (third in the first round of the Premier League). The narrative at Molyneux Stadium is completely opposite: Wolves created a flash of 1.2 expected goals (xG) in the first 25 minutes when facing Manchester City, and was eventually swallowed up by the opponent's crushing advantage of 4.78xG. This is not only a encounter between two first-round frustrated men, but also a collision of two survival philosophies: the Cherry Legion continues the radical DNA that hit the European war last season, and the Wolves seem to have sounded the relegation alarm ahead of schedule after selling Cunia (Atletico) and Ait Nuri (Lyon). The game on the

tactical board has long surpassed the pile of formation symbols. Ilaura's 4-2-3-1 system has hidden murderous intent: left-back Cruivet completed five penetrating advances in the first round (according to StatsBomb), and his diagonal connection with forward Solank constitutes a 67% offensive starting path against Liverpool. On the other hand, Wolves' new coach Pereira, his 3-5-2 formation, showed an astonishing crack in the off-ball stage - the distance between the midfield line and the three defenders once exceeded 25 meters, which directly led to Manchester City completing 19 effective penetrations in the rib area. What is even more worrying is that the counterattack sharpness of Wolves' survival last season has been reduced due to personnel loss: Cunya's departure means the team lost the explosive point of averaging 2.3 dribbling (top 10% of the same position in the Premier League), while Ait Nuri's transfer has reduced the participation of left offensive 38%.

This afternoon game, shrouded in the darkness of the British broadcast, actually reflects the cruel law of survival in the Premier League. When Leeds United and Sunderland announced the arrival of a new era disruptor with their first win, Wolves fans had reason to worry about the recurrence of the relegation nightmare in 2012 - the club's financial operation with net income of more than 60 million pounds in the summer window was interpreted by the Daily Telegraph as a cut-off in response to the PSR rules. The huge European Championship standings hanging in the locker room by Bournemouth Chairman Black hints at the team's attempt to replicate the Brighton-like class leap. At this moment, the vitality stadium rolls not only the ball, but also the concrete projection of two trajectories of fate: on one side is the rising ambition armed with a data model, and on the other side is the survival struggle under the shadow of the Financial Fairness Act.