August 15th Event Prediction: Selected six matches, who can stand out?

Korea K-Union: Jeju SK FC vs Gangwon FC

Match time: 2025 - 08 - 15 18:00 (Korea time)

League ranking: Jeju SK FC has a record of 8 wins, 5 draws, 12 losses, with 29 points, ranking 9th; Gangwon FC has a record of 8 wins, 7 draws, 10 losses, with 31 points, ranking 8th.

Recent status: Jeju SK FC has achieved 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in the last 6 games, scoring 8 goals and conceding 9 goals, with a winning rate of 33%. He has scored 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in his last 6 home games, scoring 8 goals and conceding 6 goals, with a winning rate of 50%. Gangwon FC has performed relatively stably in the offensive end in recent games, with averaging 1.5 goals per game, but there are hidden dangers on the defensive end, and has conceded 2 goals per game in the last 5 games.

Historical Confrontation: In the last 5 Confrontations, Jeju SK FC has won 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, and the two sides have evenly divided. Among them, at Jeju SK FC's home court, Jeju SK FC has the upper hand in the last three matches, 2 wins and 1 losses.

Linear situation: Jeju SK FC main striker Lee Gon-ho is absent due to injury, which has an impact on the team's offensive firepower. Gangwon FC is the midfield core Jin Dayuan has suspended the game with a cumulative yellow card, and the team's midfield organization is facing adjustments.

Predictive result: Overall, although Jeju SK FC has a home advantage and has a slight advantage in the home court, the absence of the main forward will affect the offense. Gangwon FC's midfield core suspension will also have a certain impact.

It is expected that the two sides will have a draw in this game. If the winner is decided, the probability of Jeju SK FC's small victory is slightly higher, and the number of goals may be between 2-3.

KU: Anyang FC vs Posco Roller

Match time: 2025 - 08 - 15 20:00 (Korea time)

League ranking: Anyang FC has a record of 6 wins, 8 draws, 11 losses, with 26 points, ranking 11th; Posco Roller 15 wins, 6 draws, 4 losses, with 51 points, ranking 2nd.

Recent status: An Yang FC has 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in his last 6 games. His state is average and his performance on the defensive end is acceptable. He has conceded only 5 goals in his last 6 games, but his offensive end efficiency is not high, and he averages 1 goal per game. Posco Iron and Steel has remained unbeaten in 5 wins and 1 draw in the last 6 games, and is in a hot state, with strong offensive firepower, scoring 16 goals in the last 6 games, and has also had a solid defense, conceding only 3 goals.

Historical Confrontation: In the past 10 confrontations, An Yang FC has been at a clear disadvantage with 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses. At Anyang FC's home court, Anyang FC has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in the last 5 matches, and the suppression of Posco Iron and Steel at home is insufficient.

Lineup situation: An Yang FC's main midfielder Li was absent due to injury, and the team's midfield organization and offensive connection were affected. The Pohang iron-made lineup is complete, and there are no important players who are injured or suspended, so they can play in a complete lineup.

Photo forecast results: Posco iron has a significant advantage in strength, recent status and historical confrontations. Although Anyang FC has home advantage, its lineup is not complete and the strength gap is large.

The probability of Pohang Iron and Steel in this game is extremely high, and the number of goals may be more than 3 goals. It is difficult for An Yang FC to tie the opponent.

La Liga: Girona vs Vallecano

Match time: August 15, 2025 (03:00)

Game venue: Montilivi Stadium (artificial turf, humidity 65%)

Last season ranking: Girona ranked 10th, with poor performance in the second half and only 2 wins; Vallecano ranked 14th, successfully relegated, showing the characteristics of home dragons and away bugs.

Preseason state and lineup run-in: Girona warm-up match 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss (beat Athletic Bilbao, draw with Villarreal), new player Peperi performed well, scoring 3 goals in 3 games, and Saul also started 2 times. Last season's home win rate was 47% (9th). Vallecano warm-up match 2 wins and 3 losses (losed to Real Betis and Valencia), in terms of new players' integration, the home/away background, the away winning rate last season was only 11% (18th).

Tactics and fatal weaknesses: Under Girona's core formation, forward Dovpick scored 14 goals last season, and the new core Peperi performed well in the warm-up match. However, the team's new three central defenders only practiced for 3 weeks, and the tacit understanding was insufficient. The defense line uses high-level pressing, the backcourt has weak strength and the central defender has slow turn. Vallecano forward De Thomas scored 9 goals last season, and new goalkeeper Luning's save rate in the warm-up match was only 58%, which was a hidden danger. The team is good at defensive counterattacks, relying on fast propulsion on the wing and precise long passes to create threats, and has excellent interception capabilities in the midfield. Unai Lopez's dispatch and Comesania's sweep can destroy Girona's passing and control rhythm.

Historical Confrontation: Girona has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches, but swept Vallecano 3-0 at home last season (shot proportional to 8:1). Vallecano's historical unbeaten rate against Girona is 67% (4 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses).

Referee influence: Referee Hernandez has strict law enforcement standards (5.1 yellow cards per game), which is not good for Vallecano's rough defense. Vallecano's second in La Liga last season.

Key data support: Girona averaged 1.8 goals per game at home last season (6th in La Liga), and Vallecano lost 1.9 goals per game away (16th). Girona has led the last 10 home games in eight halftimes (the new coach emphasizes the blitz), and Vallecano fell behind in halftime 12 away games last season (finally 1 draw and 11 losses). New aid Peperi shot 4.1 times per 90 minutes in the warm-up match (1st in the La Liga preseason), against Vallecano's substitute center back Muming (2 turnovers in the warm-up match).

Predictory result: I am optimistic that the home team will not be defeated, with 1 or 2 goals. Girona has certain advantages at home, new players perform well on the offensive end, and has had big wins at home in historical confrontations. However, Vallecano's defensive counterattack tactics and his historical away game performance against Girona should not be underestimated.

La Liga: Villarreal vs Oviedo

Last season ranking: Villarreal is the middle and upper-level team in La Liga; Oviedo is the Spanish Second Division team (assuming it has been upgraded from the Spanish Second Division).

Preseason state and lineup run-in: Villarreal only won 1 in 6 pre-playoffs, lost 0-2 to Aston Villa in friendly matches, and was in poor form. The number one scorer Ayoze Perez (19 goals last season) is suspected of playing, and central defenders Kamala and Costa are confirmed to be absent. Oviedo warm-up match 1 win, 2 draws and 1 loss, with low offensive efficiency (1.1 goals per game), and 4 main players were absent (including suspended defender Costas).

Tactics and Fatal Weaknesses: Villarreal's tactical system is mature, but the core of the front line is doubtful and the defense personnel are not in order. Oviedo's offense is weak, and his tactics need to be further analyzed based on the existing lineup.

Historical Confrontation: The home team has won 3 and 2 draws in the last 5 matches, but the most recent one is 2001, with limited reference value.

Home advantage: Villarreal has 7 wins and 1 loss in his last 8 home games, but has no clean sheets in his last 8 official games.

Data Interpretation: Judging from the difference in strength calculations of Ero's formula, Villarreal has a certain advantage in comparing the average score per game (home) last season with Oviedo's away game average. However, from a comprehensive analysis of recent status and injury situations, the probability of winning is lowered due to injury and condition, and the probability of a draw has increased significantly. Poisson's distributed goal simulation shows that based on preseason data, the probability of 0-1 ball is 38%, the probability of 2 ball is 35%, and the probability of ≥3 ball is 27%.

Predictive result: Although the probability of winning is still relatively high, you need to be wary of the possibility of a draw. Villarreal has the advantage in strength, but the condition and injury problems have a great impact. The probability of small goals is relatively high in terms of the number of goals, so you can pay attention to the scores 1 - 0, 1 - 1, etc.

Ligue 1: Rennes vs Marseille

Match time: 2:45 am on August 16th, 2:45 am

Match location: Roazon Park Stadium

First round of the new season: Both teams won the first round of the new season and were in good shape.

Ren's advantage: Strong performance at home, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in his last 5 home games against Marseille. The new forward player is in a hot state. After the new coach Julian Stefan took office, the team started a tactical revolution, drawing Monaco 1-1 away from home in the first round, showing a new system of high-pressure pressing and rapid conversion. Midfielder Vitinia (introduced with 28 million euros) had a 92% pass success rate in the first round, with three key interceptions, forming a dual-core drive with local star Douai. The forward's Golden Boot Muinga scored in the first round last season.

Marseille situation: Spend 102 million euros this summer, targeting a Champions League seat. The iron-blooded mark of the new coach Gattuso appeared in the first round, sweeping Lille 3-1, and the new player Luca scored two yuan alone, and the midfield genius Vail, who was loaned from Barcelona, gave a precise pass assist. However, there is a crisis in the defense line. Captain Paye retired in the first round and was diagnosed with a hamstring strain. After three weeks of rest, central defender Pallardi has suspended the game with a cumulative yellow card, and the defense line staff is tight. New Polish national Dragovsky saved the first round and conceded the goal, which was psychologically shady.

Historical Confrontation: In the historical confrontation, Marseille has dominated 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in the last 6 games, but its away performance fluctuates greatly, with a away winning rate of only 36% last season.

Key factors for victory and loss: offensive and defensive games on the left, Rennes lacks the main left gate, Marseille loses the core of the wing, and the hedging of the two wings is a breakthrough; goalkeeper's psychological battle, Rennes' 20-year-old goalkeeper Alemda plays against Dragowski, who has a turnover shadow, and the goalkeeper's performance is crucial; midfielder strangles, if Rennes' Vitinia + Duer combination suppresses the central axis of Marseille (Ver + Condobia), which will cut off Luca's ammunition delivery.

Weather impact: The forecast shows that the competition night is accompanied by strong winds (wind speed 7m/s), and long pass dispatch and long shots may cause accidents.

Predictive result: Prediction score 2 - 2 draw. Muinga and Luca each scored one goal, Vail assisted Aubameyang to overtake, and Rennes tied with a penalty kick before the end of the game. The probability of Marseille unbeaten is about 60%, and Rennes hopes to score points to 75%.

Premier League: Liverpool vs Bournemouth

Last season ranking: Liverpool ranked 5th in the Premier League last season, regretfully missed the Champions League qualification; Bournemouth ranked 15th last season, with a difficult relegation.

Summer transfer operation: Liverpool made a big move in the transfer window, spending huge amounts of money to introduce midfielder Amrabat to enhance the hardness of the midfield, and at the same time signing young winger Musiara to enhance offensive creativity. Bournemouth mainly carried out some targeted reinforcements and introduced an experienced central defender to consolidate the defense line.

Team status and morale: Liverpool performed well in the pre-season warm-up match, achieving a record of 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss. The forward trident Salah, Nunes and Jota were in excellent form, and the three scored a total of 12 goals in the warm-up match. The team is in high morale and is eager to return to the Champions League in the new season. Bournemouth had average pre-season results, 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with unstable offensive performance and only scored 8 goals in 6 games. However, after the team relegated, the players are also full of confidence in the new season.

Historical Confrontation: Liverpool has an absolute advantage in 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in the last 10 confrontations. In the two leg draws last season, Liverpool won 3-0 at home and 2-1 away.

Tactical Style: Liverpool has always adhered to the tactical style of high-level pressing and sharp offense. The fast ball output in the midfield and the forward running coordination are the team's magic weapon to win. Bournemouth is good at defensive counterattacks, using midfield interception and winger speed to find opportunities to hit the opponent behind.

Forecasting results: Based on all factors, Liverpool has a clear advantage in terms of historical confrontations, team strength and recent state. Liverpool is likely to win this game, and the expected number of goals is around 3. It is extremely difficult for Bournemouth to be upset, but the team's defensive counterattack tactics may cause some trouble for Liverpool.